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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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in all games | 5-8 | 33-42 | 309-310 | 5-7 | 34-39 | 218-224 | 9-5 | 40-41 | 404-289 | in all lined games | 5-8 | 33-42 | 309-310 | 5-7 | 34-39 | 218-224 | 8-5 | 34-41 | 338-288 | when the total is 150 to 159.5 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 23-26 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 23-26 | 3-2 | 7-8 | 30-20 | as an underdog | 1-3 | 20-21 | 147-141 | 1-3 | 18-22 | 87-108 | 1-3 | 13-28 | 93-198 | as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-11 | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-18 | in road games | 1-2 | 13-12 | 115-113 | 1-2 | 9-16 | 66-84 | 1-2 | 7-18 | 80-155 | in road lined games | 1-2 | 13-12 | 115-113 | 1-2 | 9-16 | 66-84 | 1-2 | 7-18 | 78-154 | in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.5 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 8-7 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 11-4 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 7-8 | against conference opponents | 0-2 | 22-20 | 180-200 | 0-1 | 20-21 | 140-130 | 0-2 | 18-24 | 182-205 | in January games | 0-2 | 10-10 | 81-89 | 0-1 | 10-9 | 61-62 | 0-2 | 7-13 | 83-89 | on Saturday games | 0-4 | 11-15 | 113-133 | 1-2 | 12-13 | 90-78 | 1-3 | 11-15 | 139-124 | after a conference game | 0-2 | 20-21 | 176-197 | 1-1 | 21-20 | 140-128 | 1-1 | 19-22 | 190-196 | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-1 | 10-12 | 96-93 | 0-1 | 17-5 | 68-58 | 0-1 | 11-11 | 99-96 | after allowing 80 points or more | 1-2 | 7-11 | 46-56 | 0-3 | 7-11 | 37-34 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 62-55 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-5 | 27-33 | 234-241 | 1-5 | 26-32 | 171-168 | 3-5 | 26-36 | 251-248 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 2-3 | 16-19 | 98-90 | 1-3 | 15-18 | 57-79 | 3-3 | 16-22 | 93-106 |
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in all games | 6-8 | 41-44 | 359-346 | 8-6 | 46-41 | 292-319 | 11-3 | 69-20 | 588-177 | in all lined games | 6-8 | 41-44 | 359-346 | 8-6 | 46-41 | 292-319 | 11-3 | 68-20 | 545-176 | when the total is 150 to 159.5 | 2-3 | 15-13 | 37-45 | 2-3 | 15-14 | 38-45 | 5-0 | 25-4 | 57-27 | as a favorite | 5-8 | 35-38 | 301-292 | 8-5 | 41-33 | 243-261 | 10-3 | 63-12 | 502-105 | as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points | 1-1 | 4-1 | 23-26 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 15-18 | 2-0 | 5-0 | 43-6 | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 4-5 | 14-13 | 84-89 | 5-4 | 15-11 | 66-64 | 9-0 | 27-0 | 165-10 | in all home games | 5-5 | 22-22 | 150-151 | 5-5 | 24-19 | 114-134 | 10-0 | 41-4 | 311-37 | in home lined games | 5-5 | 22-22 | 150-151 | 5-5 | 24-19 | 114-134 | 10-0 | 40-4 | 271-36 | in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 15-12 | 2-3 | 6-4 | 16-11 | 5-0 | 10-0 | 27-1 | against conference opponents | 0-2 | 18-25 | 200-195 | 2-0 | 23-21 | 161-174 | 1-1 | 33-11 | 305-98 | in January games | 0-2 | 6-13 | 77-90 | 2-0 | 12-8 | 62-76 | 1-1 | 14-6 | 135-37 | on Saturday games | 4-2 | 18-15 | 146-136 | 3-3 | 19-14 | 125-121 | 4-2 | 22-11 | 214-81 | after a conference game | 0-1 | 19-23 | 203-190 | 1-0 | 21-22 | 161-177 | 1-0 | 32-11 | 304-98 | off a win against a conference rival | 0-0 | 16-15 | 156-141 | 0-0 | 15-17 | 120-138 | 0-0 | 26-6 | 232-71 | after scoring 80 points or more | 4-4 | 20-24 | 116-138 | 3-5 | 25-20 | 101-113 | 8-0 | 35-10 | 211-64 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-3 | 32-30 | 291-272 | 4-3 | 34-31 | 232-269 | 5-2 | 46-19 | 423-162 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 3-3 | 18-17 | 114-110 | 2-4 | 16-22 | 84-117 | 6-0 | 27-11 | 156-81 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 9-5 | -7.6 | 5-9 | 6-7 | 80.6 | 38.4 | 45.5% | 40.1 | 71.9 | 34.2 | 40.7% | 35.4 | Road Games | 1-3 | -2 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 67.0 | 32.2 | 35.7% | 39.5 | 77.2 | 36.5 | 43.3% | 42.5 | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -3.2 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 75.4 | 33.0 | 41.7% | 38.4 | 73.4 | 33.6 | 43.0% | 33.6 | Conference Games | 0-2 | -2.2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 67.0 | 32.5 | 36.2% | 38.0 | 81.5 | 34.5 | 47.9% | 39.5 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 80.6 | 38.4 | 27-59 | 45.5% | 8-24 | 33.7% | 19-27 | 71.5% | 40 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 5 | vs opponents surrendering | 73 | 34.6 | 26-59 | 43.4% | 8-23 | 33.3% | 14-20 | 69.0% | 35 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | Team Stats (Road Games) | 67.0 | 32.2 | 22-61 | 35.7% | 6-24 | 25.5% | 17-25 | 67.6% | 39 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 5 | 13 | 3 | Stats Against (All Games) | 71.9 | 34.2 | 26-63 | 40.7% | 7-22 | 32.2% | 13-19 | 68.3% | 35 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 75.5 | 35.9 | 27-60 | 44.7% | 8-24 | 34.5% | 14-19 | 69.9% | 37 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 3 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 77.2 | 36.5 | 28-66 | 43.3% | 6-19 | 29.9% | 14-22 | 64.4% | 42 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
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All Games | 11-3 | -3.3 | 6-8 | 8-6 | 82.6 | 40.5 | 49.0% | 38.1 | 70.3 | 32.4 | 42.9% | 28.6 | Home Games | 10-0 | +2.2 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 84.4 | 41.9 | 50.5% | 39.1 | 64.7 | 30.5 | 41.4% | 25.4 | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +0.1 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 79.8 | 40.4 | 49.2% | 32.2 | 68.4 | 31.4 | 43.6% | 33.2 | Conference Games | 1-1 | -2.1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 80.0 | 43.0 | 47.1% | 30.0 | 75.5 | 36.0 | 47.0% | 34.5 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 82.6 | 40.5 | 28-58 | 49.0% | 6-18 | 35.2% | 19-25 | 75.9% | 38 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 5 | vs opponents surrendering | 72.4 | 34.2 | 25-59 | 42.8% | 8-23 | 34.3% | 14-20 | 70.0% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 4 | Team Stats (Home Games) | 84.4 | 41.9 | 29-57 | 50.5% | 7-17 | 38.9% | 20-26 | 75.9% | 39 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 5 | Stats Against (All Games) | 70.3 | 32.4 | 25-59 | 42.9% | 8-22 | 38.9% | 11-15 | 70.8% | 29 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 77.4 | 36.8 | 27-60 | 45.6% | 8-23 | 34.5% | 15-21 | 71.5% | 38 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | Stats Against (Home Games) | 64.7 | 30.5 | 24-58 | 41.4% | 8-21 | 38.4% | 9-12 | 70.4% | 25 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 5 | 17 | 2 |
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Average power rating of opponents played: VANDERBILT 76.1, KENTUCKY 79.9 |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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VANDERBILT is 24-19 against the spread versus KENTUCKY since 1997 | KENTUCKY is 31-12 straight up against VANDERBILT since 1997 | 20 of 31 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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VANDERBILT is 3-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | KENTUCKY is 4-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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VANDERBILT is 11-9 against the spread versus KENTUCKY since 1997 | KENTUCKY is 18-2 straight up against VANDERBILT since 1997 | 9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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VANDERBILT is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/30/2018 | VANDERBILT | 81 | 146.5 | ATS | 33 | 28-59 | 47.5% | 9-25 | 36.0% | 16-23 | 69.6% | 37 | 8 | 15 | | KENTUCKY | 83 | -9 | SU Over | 27 | 29-64 | 45.3% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 20-27 | 74.1% | 35 | 9 | 9 | 1/13/2018 | KENTUCKY | 74 | -2 | SU ATS | 36 | 23-43 | 53.5% | 3-10 | 30.0% | 25-37 | 67.6% | 35 | 8 | 11 | | VANDERBILT | 67 | 145.5 | Under | 27 | 21-55 | 38.2% | 6-25 | 24.0% | 19-27 | 70.4% | 30 | 11 | 7 | 2/28/2017 | VANDERBILT | 67 | 149 | ATS | 30 | 22-49 | 44.9% | 11-28 | 39.3% | 12-16 | 75.0% | 28 | 2 | 18 | | KENTUCKY | 73 | -10.5 | SU Under | 24 | 24-55 | 43.6% | 5-17 | 29.4% | 20-26 | 76.9% | 33 | 6 | 11 | 1/10/2017 | KENTUCKY | 87 | -11.5 | SU Over | 45 | 34-67 | 50.7% | 1-9 | 11.1% | 18-24 | 75.0% | 40 | 10 | 6 | | VANDERBILT | 81 | 157.5 | ATS | 41 | 25-58 | 43.1% | 8-29 | 27.6% | 23-32 | 71.9% | 34 | 5 | 7 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VANDERBILT games 53.3% of the time since 1997. (259-227) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VANDERBILT games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-30) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (297-279) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 48.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-36) | |
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The betting public is correct when moving the total in VANDERBILT games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (182-186) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in VANDERBILT games 52.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-31) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 48.9% of the time since 1997. (259-271) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 50.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-38) | |
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[G] 11/23/2018 - Darius Garland is out for season ( Ankle ) | |
[G] 12/14/2018 - Quade Green is out for season ( Transferred ) |
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