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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 4:00 PM
VALPARAISO (10-6) AT S ILLINOIS (9-7) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
675: VALPARAISO
676: S ILLINOIS
129.5
-8.5
72.9 / 67.5
69.6 / 68.4
10-6
9-7
5-9
9-7
6-8
7-9
46.9
47.2
69.1
70.4
34.3
38.2
43.1
41.8
66.3
68.6
31.3
34.9
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
VALPARAISO 
S ILLINOIS-3 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
VALPARAISO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games5-933-38187-1756-829-42148-16710-649-32440-262
in all lined games5-933-38187-1756-829-42148-1678-641-32216-156
when the total is 120 to 129.51-01-130-320-11-132-311-01-135-29
as an underdog3-411-1678-703-410-1861-692-57-2145-106
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points1-02-29-110-11-39-91-01-33-17
in road games3-215-1687-763-214-1965-743-213-20138-164
in road lined games3-215-1687-763-214-1965-743-213-2072-96
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.50-00-113-140-01-015-110-00-111-16
against conference opponents2-120-20110-991-216-2397-1013-023-18259-128
in January games2-111-957-361-28-1238-493-013-7122-60
on Saturday games2-19-657-473-010-647-493-112-7143-82
after a conference game2-019-19109-1031-116-21100-1043-022-18253-133
off a win against a conference rival2-011-1062-681-111-1064-632-013-991-55
after allowing 60 points or less1-27-958-572-19-650-452-110-7125-74
when playing against a team with a winning record2-319-20116-1070-514-2789-1063-221-20164-175
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-012-1068-650-111-1268-601-011-12106-85

S ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-635-35313-3226-934-38188-2189-746-36394-294
in all lined games9-635-35313-3226-934-38188-2188-737-35360-286
when the total is 120 to 129.52-06-457-700-21-959-712-05-563-68
as a favorite6-519-17169-1815-619-1896-1157-425-12266-91
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points0-11-224-200-10-310-210-11-231-13
in all home games2-414-16127-1470-613-1882-934-328-12227-82
in home lined games2-414-16127-1470-613-1882-933-320-11202-79
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.51-03-126-330-10-431-291-03-138-23
against conference opponents1-219-22198-2091-222-21129-1362-124-19234-185
in January games1-29-1195-971-213-864-662-113-8113-89
on Saturday games5-113-11107-1222-413-1270-684-217-11145-101
after a conference game2-119-21196-2051-223-19127-1381-223-20231-187
off a loss against a conference rival0-07-877-880-08-861-600-010-689-82
after allowing 80 points or more2-07-431-361-17-521-171-110-537-39
when playing against a team with a winning record5-521-26183-1945-521-27120-1425-626-27195-200
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-111-15109-1121-014-1379-870-114-13112-115
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
VALPARAISO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games10-6-15-96-872.935.246.9%35.367.531.943.1%33.9
Road Games4-4+3.54-44-469.933.944.9%33.071.635.145.9%35.5
Last 5 Games4-1+2.82-21-369.433.846.0%39.060.826.238.9%32.0
Conference Games3-0+3.82-11-267.034.345.9%38.357.322.737.1%32.0
VALPARAISO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)72.935.226-5646.9%7-2134.3%13-1969.1%35916166133
vs opponents surrendering76.936.227-5846.3%8-2235.6%15-2169.3%36915197134
Team Stats (Road Games)69.933.926-5744.9%8-2335.0%11-1571.4%33816186142
Stats Against (All Games)67.531.925-5843.1%6-2031.3%11-1666.3%34912187133
vs opponents averaging71.133.425-5942.3%7-2232.3%14-2168.7%351013196143
Stats Against (Road Games)71.635.126-5745.9%6-2032.9%13-1965.6%351012157133

S ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-7-2.89-77-969.630.747.2%33.768.435.041.8%33.2
Home Games4-3-4.22-51-667.631.144.0%37.766.335.039.0%35.3
Last 5 Games2-3-4.22-31-467.829.846.2%33.271.036.043.3%31.0
Conference Games2-1+0.81-21-267.729.047.0%32.767.732.742.1%32.0
S ILLINOIS Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.630.725-5347.2%7-1838.2%13-1870.4%34815166164
vs opponents surrendering72.733.726-5943.3%8-2333.7%14-2070.7%35913196143
Team Stats (Home Games)67.631.123-5344.0%7-1936.9%14-2069.8%38915136175
Stats Against (All Games)68.435.025-5941.8%9-2734.9%10-1468.6%331014176133
vs opponents averaging7735.927-6045.3%8-2434.6%15-2170.0%37915186134
Stats Against (Home Games)66.335.024-6239.0%9-2734.4%9-1272.3%351014189132
Average power rating of opponents played: VALPARAISO 71.6,  S ILLINOIS 73.6
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
VALPARAISO is 1-0 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS since 1997
S ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against VALPARAISO since 1997
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 1-0 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
S ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at S ILLINOIS since 1997
S ILLINOIS is 0-0 against the spread versus VALPARAISO since 1997
S ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against VALPARAISO since 1997
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 0-0 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
S ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/3/2018VALPARAISO59141 3124-4949.0%6-1931.6%5-1145.5%29517
 S ILLINOIS65-6SU Under2524-4949.0%3-1520.0%14-2458.3%30411
1/6/2018S ILLINOIS72138.5 Over2926-6142.6%7-1936.8%13-1872.2%33913
 VALPARAISO83-3.5SU ATS4327-5549.1%10-1855.6%19-2576.0%39816
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring VALPARAISO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 53.7% of the time since 1997. (153-132)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-26)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S ILLINOIS games 47.4% of the time since 1997. (247-274)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S ILLINOIS games 45.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-31)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VALPARAISO games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (135-124)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VALPARAISO games 62.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-24)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in S ILLINOIS games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (158-166)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in S ILLINOIS games 51.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-30)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
VALPARAISO
[G] 01/11/2019 - Ryan Fazekas left last game, is doubtful Saturday vs So Illinois ( Ankle )
S ILLINOIS
[F] 01/04/2019 - Thik Bol is out indefinitely ( Ankle )
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