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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 2:00 PM
TOLEDO (12-3) AT W MICHIGAN (6-9) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
653: TOLEDO
654: W MICHIGAN
143.0
+6.0
81.4 / 69.1
72.2 / 72.2
12-3
6-9
8-6
8-6
7-7
9-6
45.4
43.3
77.7
69.1
37.9
33.5
41.6
42.5
66.7
71.0
31.1
34.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TOLEDO-6 
W MICHIGAN  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TOLEDO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-641-36299-3027-738-39197-18912-352-31353-320
in all lined games8-641-36299-3027-738-39197-18911-346-31302-310
when the total is 140 to 149.52-318-1049-454-117-1151-434-118-1054-41
as a favorite5-424-25152-1385-424-2599-798-136-13226-69
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points0-14-313-121-04-38-101-06-118-7
in road games1-318-15137-1483-119-1483-952-215-18103-203
in road lined games1-318-15137-1483-119-1483-952-215-1893-196
in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.50-18-113-81-05-412-100-16-310-12
against conference opponents0-222-21193-2031-120-23125-1280-225-18214-191
in January games0-210-1078-961-112-856-510-211-990-88
on Saturday games3-115-11103-1172-215-1169-595-018-11133-118
after a conference game0-223-20193-1942-021-22132-1191-125-18215-189
off a loss against a conference rival0-110-682-881-09-758-590-110-684-92
after allowing 80 points or more1-010-946-500-110-929-312-015-857-54
after scoring 80 points or more5-218-1663-734-315-1949-427-122-1584-67
when playing against a team with a losing record3-29-10116-1003-29-1068-676-017-5179-75
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-04-473-590-05-346-430-06-298-38

W MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-637-34299-3079-638-34218-1786-939-40360-315
in all lined games8-637-34299-3079-638-34218-1786-933-40317-303
when the total is 140 to 149.53-515-1956-705-322-1379-513-514-2157-74
as an underdog3-319-15138-1464-317-17105-811-69-2682-205
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-02-210-50-04-06-30-01-36-9
in all home games3-215-14134-1193-219-1191-703-226-10223-75
in home lined games3-215-14134-1193-219-1191-703-220-10186-72
in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.50-14-311-100-14-317-50-13-413-9
against conference opponents1-121-19198-2001-120-21140-1140-221-20221-184
in January games1-111-891-761-111-959-440-28-12101-77
on Saturday games4-414-8113-1043-511-1273-532-616-11133-113
after a conference game1-120-18183-2052-020-19140-1101-123-18220-184
off a loss against a conference rival0-16-1074-881-011-658-450-17-1097-72
after allowing 80 points or more1-113-1161-651-111-1441-411-114-1380-60
when playing against a team with a winning record2-224-20156-1651-318-25123-960-418-26137-198
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-012-1279-950-013-1178-500-012-1272-102
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-08-919-240-011-615-130-07-1017-26
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-115-1144-422-016-1031-261-110-1633-58
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TOLEDO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games12-3+4.88-67-781.438.345.4%40.869.131.741.6%35.1
Road Games5-2+3.84-33-478.634.144.9%38.977.133.144.4%37.3
Last 5 Games3-203-23-278.237.642.9%41.273.235.844.1%36.4
Conference Games0-2-30-21-172.029.038.2%40.594.541.550.3%43.5
TOLEDO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)81.438.328-6245.4%10-2637.9%15-1977.7%411017165124
vs opponents surrendering75.235.127-6144.6%7-2233.9%14-1970.8%381014187143
Team Stats (Road Games)78.634.127-6044.9%10-2440.1%15-2075.5%39915175153
Stats Against (All Games)69.131.727-6441.6%7-2231.1%9-1466.7%35912186123
vs opponents averaging73.33426-6043.3%8-2435.1%13-1969.0%36914187143
Stats Against (Road Games)77.133.130-6744.4%8-2431.7%10-1564.5%371113197104

W MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games6-9-12.18-69-672.234.043.3%37.772.233.042.5%34.2
Home Games3-2-11.13-23-278.637.643.8%42.266.028.039.1%32.8
Last 5 Games1-4-5.62-23-266.430.639.2%34.472.033.444.3%35.8
Conference Games0-2-21-11-160.527.534.4%39.572.033.540.7%41.0
W MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)72.234.024-5643.3%8-2433.5%16-2269.1%381012164152
vs opponents surrendering72.633.925-5744.7%8-2235.7%14-2069.1%35914166133
Team Stats (Home Games)78.637.626-5843.8%9-2534.9%19-2671.0%421314145122
Stats Against (All Games)72.233.026-6142.5%8-2434.3%12-1771.0%34913197114
vs opponents averaging72.133.825-5843.6%8-2434.9%12-1771.2%34914186133
Stats Against (Home Games)66.028.023-6039.1%9-2535.7%10-1471.8%33811206112
Average power rating of opponents played: TOLEDO 72.2,  W MICHIGAN 70.2
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
TOLEDO is 23-21 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997
W MICHIGAN is 23-22 straight up against TOLEDO since 1997
16 of 27 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 2-2 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 2-2 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at W MICHIGAN since 1997
W MICHIGAN is 12-9 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997
W MICHIGAN is 15-6 straight up against TOLEDO since 1997
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/23/2018TOLEDO85148.5SU ATS4324-5246.2%13-2846.4%24-3275.0%3759
 W MICHIGAN81-1 Over4124-6437.5%6-1833.3%27-3479.4%38114
1/9/2018W MICHIGAN61151 Under2823-7032.9%4-1625.0%11-1291.7%341511
 TOLEDO84-4.5SU ATS3627-4757.4%13-2356.5%17-2373.9%38618
2/21/2017W MICHIGAN61158.5SU ATS2323-6734.3%4-1822.2%11-1573.3%3984
 TOLEDO56-5.5 Under3121-6233.9%3-1717.6%11-1861.1%541315
1/10/2017TOLEDO74-4.5 Over3726-6043.3%6-2326.1%16-1984.2%26119
 W MICHIGAN90154SU ATS4235-5070.0%7-1070.0%13-1681.2%27412
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (237-240)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 41.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-34)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 47.1% of the time since 1997. (225-253)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 42.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-32)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (150-164)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 41.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-43)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in W MICHIGAN games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (156-158)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in W MICHIGAN games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-31)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TOLEDO
No significant injuries.
W MICHIGAN
[G] 11/20/2018 - Bryce Moore is out for season ( Knee )
[G] 11/09/2018 - Jason Whitens is out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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