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Page last updated on Sun Apr 21 18:22:43 EDT 2019
Matchup Reports

Tuesday at 8:30 PM
MICHIGAN (22-2) AT PENN ST (8-15) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
629: MICHIGAN
630: PENN ST
128.5
+8.0
70.7 / 57.1
68.1 / 68.9
22-2
8-15
13-11
9-14
8-16
8-15
44.9
40.9
68.7
67.9
34.6
31.5
39.7
44.7
65.8
71.3
30.4
36.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MICHIGAN-5 
PENN ST  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games13-1055-42335-3168-1550-48266-26522-281-22440-289
in all lined games13-1055-42335-3168-1550-48266-26521-276-22377-285
when the total is 120 to 129.55-411-689-692-75-1283-748-115-297-61
as a favorite12-1040-35188-1698-1439-37148-14420-264-12284-81
as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points1-01-13-51-02-07-01-02-06-2
in road games4-315-15103-1252-518-1295-845-215-1583-151
in road lined games4-315-15103-1252-518-1295-845-215-1581-150
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.51-23-332-251-22-431-262-14-228-29
against conference opponents9-436-21219-1924-933-24172-16911-242-15217-198
in February games2-111-673-801-210-762-642-113-472-84
on Tuesday nights2-39-544-431-46-835-445-011-357-43
after a conference game7-534-22214-1895-734-22164-17410-242-14222-192
off a win against a conference rival6-425-16108-1054-624-1789-948-229-12112-104
after allowing 60 points or less7-620-22108-1065-822-20101-8912-231-12148-90
when playing against a team with a losing record2-310-754-633-212-547-335-019-0114-30
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games1-04-227-331-05-124-191-06-041-19

PENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-1246-39303-2926-1536-50206-2318-1549-46321-372
in all lined games9-1246-39303-2926-1536-50206-2316-1541-45245-364
when the total is 120 to 129.50-21-251-620-20-355-600-21-242-74
as an underdog5-722-22188-1984-824-20144-1462-1012-3291-303
as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-21-215-161-11-210-130-20-37-24
in all home games3-619-18137-1302-711-2689-1065-629-17218-138
in home lined games3-619-18137-1302-711-2689-1063-621-16144-132
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.50-11-129-310-10-232-300-11-127-35
against conference opponents4-825-27194-2054-827-26148-1571-1119-34124-282
in February games2-09-871-771-110-749-571-17-1051-101
on Tuesday nights2-17-831-290-37-827-232-18-932-37
after a conference game4-626-24189-1994-625-25143-1562-922-31137-268
revenging a road loss vs opponent1-411-1286-843-211-1370-670-59-1562-117
off a loss against a conference rival3-614-17123-1373-613-1895-1052-814-1885-182
when playing against a team with a winning record8-1135-36213-2286-1333-39172-1716-1432-42165-307
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-323-20142-1424-325-18120-1091-618-2589-201
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-02-372-811-04-170-570-11-439-119
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-46-10118-1302-48-8101-881-53-1384-181
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games22-2+10.413-118-1670.734.844.9%35.957.126.739.7%33.8
Road Games7-2+3.46-33-669.235.743.8%36.759.127.239.2%34.4
Last 5 Games4-1+1.84-11-466.232.840.9%35.857.228.838.4%38.2
Conference Games11-2+6.29-44-967.935.243.3%34.359.328.440.9%34.9
MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.734.826-5744.9%8-2234.6%11-1768.7%3671314694
vs opponents surrendering69.232.625-5743.1%7-2234.0%12-1869.0%35813186133
Team Stats (Road Games)69.235.725-5843.8%8-2333.8%11-1570.8%37714175104
Stats Against (All Games)57.126.722-5639.7%5-1630.4%8-1265.8%34710164133
vs opponents averaging71.933.926-5844.3%8-2234.8%13-1969.6%35914176134
Stats Against (Road Games)59.127.222-5639.2%5-1630.1%10-1566.9%34810165124

PENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games8-15-13.29-148-1568.133.640.9%36.568.933.544.7%34.8
Home Games5-6-6.23-84-770.735.041.4%37.370.034.644.4%34.9
Last 5 Games1-4-4.43-22-368.634.239.6%36.470.834.841.8%35.6
Conference Games1-11-12.54-84-864.431.239.5%36.271.134.145.2%36.0
PENN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)68.133.624-5940.9%7-2331.5%13-1967.9%371012198134
vs opponents surrendering67.531.824-5742.1%7-2233.2%12-1769.6%34812186133
Team Stats (Home Games)70.735.024-5941.4%8-2532.5%14-2167.7%371113177134
Stats Against (All Games)68.933.525-5544.7%7-1936.8%13-1871.3%35712187144
vs opponents averaging743526-5845.3%8-2235.1%14-1970.9%37914176134
Stats Against (Home Games)70.034.625-5744.4%8-2040.9%11-1571.1%35813197134
Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN 79.8,  PENN ST 80.5
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN is 24-13 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN is 29-9 straight up against PENN ST since 1997
15 of 26 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at PENN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN is 9-6 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN is 11-5 straight up against PENN ST since 1997
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at PENN ST over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/3/2019PENN ST55128.5 Under2024-5742.1%1-147.1%6-966.7%37718
 MICHIGAN68-11SU ATS2525-5545.5%5-1435.7%13-1968.4%29310
2/21/2018MICHIGAN72134SU ATS3423-5145.1%10-2147.6%16-1984.2%34512
 PENN ST63-4 Over2625-5942.4%7-1838.9%6-1154.5%33410
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MICHIGAN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (253-257)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 46.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-42)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (244-249)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 46.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-40)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.7% of the time since 1997. (208-257)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 41.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-54)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 47.6% of the time since 1997. (180-198)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 45.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-44)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MICHIGAN
No significant injuries.
PENN ST
[F] 12/14/2018 - Satchel Pierce is out for season ( Academics )
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