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Page last updated on Tue Mar 26 17:17:39 EDT 2019
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:00 PM
LOUISVILLE (10-5) AT N CAROLINA (12-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
607: LOUISVILLE
608: N CAROLINA
155.5
-11.0
79.8 / 70.3
89.9 / 72.8
10-5
12-3
7-6
8-5
8-7
7-7
45.1
47.6
76.5
75.2
34.9
37.1
42.9
40.4
68.0
67.5
35.6
31.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
LOUISVILLE  
N CAROLINA-14 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
LOUISVILLE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games7-643-34351-3238-743-37251-28610-557-28510-224
in all lined games7-643-34351-3238-743-37251-28610-553-28465-223
when the total is 150 to 159.53-19-826-261-34-1318-333-19-831-21
as an underdog4-215-1183-732-413-1351-702-48-1849-109
as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points0-01-19-20-01-13-50-00-21-10
in road games2-114-9127-981-213-1079-1001-210-14122-108
in road lined games2-114-9127-981-213-1079-1001-29-14119-108
in a road game where the total is 155 to 159.50-00-12-20-00-11-30-00-13-1
against conference opponents1-123-17213-1842-028-12152-1681-123-18261-142
in January games1-115-497-832-013-566-681-113-6115-67
on Saturday games2-112-7118-1241-311-1191-1042-218-7178-89
after a conference game0-124-16210-1841-027-13153-1750-125-16260-142
off a loss against a conference rival0-010-669-650-08-944-620-013-490-47
after allowing 80 points or more1-05-425-420-14-616-270-16-438-35
after scoring 80 points or more4-314-14100-1134-414-1673-964-419-13172-70
when playing against a team with a winning record5-433-30257-2636-535-31206-2306-540-28330-209
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-017-17167-1500-023-11138-1430-019-16189-135
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-010-953-470-011-938-580-012-857-46
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game3-319-1894-1025-321-1972-995-325-16122-86

N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-445-36374-3356-738-46323-29812-371-21569-200
in all lined games8-445-36374-3356-738-46323-29810-367-21529-197
when the total is 150 to 159.55-123-14118-974-321-16113-1036-133-6154-66
as a favorite7-342-29316-2555-635-38262-2319-264-13487-98
as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points0-01-220-170-02-115-170-01-231-7
in all home games4-122-8163-1383-317-16146-1157-034-3285-57
in home lined games4-122-8163-1383-317-16146-1156-031-3254-55
in a home game where the total is 155 to 159.51-04-219-212-05-323-202-08-032-11
against conference opponents2-021-18194-1940-218-24178-1712-031-13272-130
in January games3-09-980-830-310-1176-733-015-6119-53
on Saturday games3-110-12111-1101-313-1199-923-116-8166-69
after a conference game1-021-17193-1920-119-22180-1681-031-12278-123
off a win against a conference rival1-015-11121-1370-112-17120-1171-022-8191-80
after allowing 80 points or more1-212-682-670-37-1167-633-115-5117-47
after scoring 80 points or more4-328-24193-1775-321-33169-1637-346-13313-84
when playing against a team with a winning record6-337-33302-2725-532-42264-2528-357-21417-187
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-020-18185-1670-018-23172-1530-032-11248-116
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-010-1171-640-09-1361-620-019-578-61
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game3-221-21128-1161-418-25112-1085-136-11158-100
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
LOUISVILLE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games10-5+1.67-68-779.837.745.1%38.170.332.142.9%32.4
Road Games1-4-3.23-22-375.634.441.9%38.478.235.047.0%34.0
Last 5 Games3-2-0.61-33-278.033.845.9%37.672.434.846.0%30.6
Conference Games1-1-0.61-12-088.034.046.7%40.081.039.547.9%33.0
LOUISVILLE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)79.837.726-5745.1%8-2434.9%20-2676.5%38913185123
vs opponents surrendering70.233.225-5942.2%7-2232.4%13-1869.6%35913196143
Team Stats (Road Games)75.634.426-6341.9%9-2732.6%14-1977.4%38914205135
Stats Against (All Games)70.332.125-5842.9%7-2135.6%13-1968.0%32712235124
vs opponents averaging77.53727-5946.4%8-2235.4%15-2172.2%37915187134
Stats Against (Road Games)78.235.028-6047.0%6-1833.7%16-2466.1%34514196105

N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games12-3-2.98-57-789.944.547.6%44.972.835.040.4%33.4
Home Games7-0+14-24-394.047.349.8%46.168.931.637.8%31.4
Last 5 Games4-1+0.64-10-581.240.643.5%44.467.832.837.1%38.0
Conference Games2-0+22-00-287.546.044.2%51.071.032.537.0%39.5
N CAROLINA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)89.944.532-6847.6%8-2337.1%17-2375.2%451220198144
vs opponents surrendering70.232.825-6042.2%8-2233.6%12-1869.4%34913196143
Team Stats (Home Games)94.047.333-6749.8%8-2235.1%19-2577.3%461221169155
Stats Against (All Games)72.835.025-6340.4%8-2631.1%14-2167.5%33814197165
vs opponents averaging7736.928-5946.4%8-2334.9%14-2069.2%371015176144
Stats Against (Home Games)68.931.624-6337.8%8-2729.4%13-1872.4%31813199184
Average power rating of opponents played: LOUISVILLE 78,  N CAROLINA 79.7
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
LOUISVILLE is 6-5 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997
N CAROLINA is 8-3 straight up against LOUISVILLE since 1997
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at N CAROLINA since 1997
LOUISVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997
N CAROLINA is 3-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE since 1997
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/17/2018N CAROLINA93-1SU ATS4936-7448.6%12-2744.4%9-1090.0%441411
 LOUISVILLE76152.5 Over4028-6245.2%7-1741.2%13-2259.1%32912
2/22/2017LOUISVILLE63154 Under3027-6144.3%5-2025.0%4-1330.8%33816
 N CAROLINA74-7.5SU ATS3323-6237.1%7-1838.9%21-2972.4%461412
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring LOUISVILLE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (284-275)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 37.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-39)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (299-293)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 61.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-25)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 47% of the time since 1997. (214-241)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 47.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-37)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (265-278)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 53.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-37)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
LOUISVILLE
No significant injuries.
N CAROLINA
[G] 01/11/2019 - Cameron Johnson left last game, is probable Saturday vs Louisville ( Cramps )
[F] 01/11/2019 - Sterling Manley is "?" Saturday vs Louisville ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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